Monday, December 21, 2009

Early comp pick projections for 2010, Part III

The third post of my series explaining at the compensatory pick possibilities for each team takes a look at the remaining teams in the NFC South and NFC West.

Click here to read why the other teams in the NFC South and NFC West won't get any comp picks in 2010.

Click here to review the Unrestricted Free Agents lost and signed by each team during the qualifying period of the 2009 offseason.


Atlanta — The Falcons lost four qualifying players and signed either one or two. They should receive a third- or fourth-round pick for losing Dominique Foxworth and a fifth or sixth for losing Michael Boley. If Brett Romberg does not qualify, the Falcons also will receive a pick as compensation for losing Grady Jackson, likely in the seventh round.

Carolina — The Panthers didn't sign any qualifying players, so they will receive a comp pick for each qualifying player lost. They should get a fifth or sixth for Geoff Hangartner and a sixth or seventh for Frank Omiyale. There is a small chance that Mark Jones also will qualify. If so, the Panthers would get a seventh for him.

Tampa Bay — The Buccaneers will not get a comp pick. They lost only two qualifying players, and they signed either three or four.

Arizona — The Cardinals could get a third- or fourth-round pick, or they could get nothing. They lost one player who definitely will qualify and signed one player who definitely will qualify. The question is whether Terrelle Smith will count as a player lost and whether Jason Wright will count as a player signed. At this point, I would project that both of them will qualify based on their contract values, leaving the Cardinals with no comp picks. If Wright qualfies and Smith doesn't, they wouldn't get a comp pick, either. But if Smith qualifies and Wright doesn't, the Cardinals would get a third- or fourth-round pick as compensation for losing Antonio Smith.

San Francisco — The 49ers should get one comp pick, with a very small chance that they'll get two. They signed three players who qualify and lost four who qualify and one who is on the bubble but almost certainly will not qualify. Their comp pick would be in the sixth or seventh round, most likely the seventh. If they do get a second comp pick, it would be in the seventh.

Seattle — Any comp picks the Seahawks get will be in the seventh round. The only question is how many. They signed two players who will qualify and one who might qualify. They lost three players who will qualify and two who might. The various combinations of John Owens qualifying as a player signed, Bobby Engram qualifying as a player lost and/or Floyd Womack qualifying as a player lost could result in the Seahawks getting one, two or even three seventh-round comp picks.

10 comments:

  1. Great stuff as always; no compensatory pick for the Seahawks for losing Pro-Bowler Leonard Weaver?

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  2. The Seahawks will get at least one comp pick and possibly as many as three. Weaver is one of the players they lost who has a seventh-round comp value, so one of their comp picks could be for him. The final values and exactly who else qualifies (between John Owens, Bobby Engram and Floyd Womack) will determine whether they get a comp pick for Weaver or whether his loss is canceled out by the signing of Colin Cole or Owens.

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  3. As you see it the Giants will get NO comp picks??

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  4. That is correct. The Giants signed more qualifying players they lost, so they will not get a comp pick.

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  5. Good read.. Thanks..

    The Falcons also lost Kieth Brooking...... Nothing for him?..

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  6. The loss of Brooking was canceled out by the signing of Mike Peterson (based on their values in the formula, not the position they play).

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  7. Scar98 took a shot at projecting comp picks.... What do you think about his projection

    Round 3
    Tennessee Titans - Albert Haynesworth
    Cincinnati Bengals - T.J. Houshmandzadeh
    Atlanta Falcons - Domonique Foxworth

    Round 4
    none

    Round 5
    Pittsburgh Steelers - Bryant McFadden
    Atlanta Falcons - Michael Boley
    San Diego Chargers - Igor Olshansky
    Pittsburgh Steelers - Nate Washington
    Green Bay Packers - Colin Cole
    Minnesota Vikings - Matt Birk

    Round 6
    Jacksonville Jaguars - Mike Peterson
    San Francisco 49ers - Bryant Johnson

    Round 7
    Pittsburgh Steelers - Byron Leftwich
    Tennessee Titans - Brandon Jones
    Carolina Panthers - Frank Omiyale
    Atlanta Falcons - Grady Jackson
    Miami Dolphins - Renaldo Hill
    New England Patriots - Jabar Gaffney
    Tennessee Titans - Chris Carr
    Carolina Panthers - Geoff Hangartner
    Seattle Seahawks - Maurice Morris
    Indianapolis Colts - Darrell Reid
    Philadelphia Eagles - L.J. Smith
    Tennessee Titans - Eric King
    Philadelphia Eagles - Sean Considine
    New England Patriots - LaMont Jordan
    New England Patriots - Lonie Paxton
    New England Patriots - Heath Evans
    Oakland Raiders - (Net Value)
    Baltimore Ravens - (Net Value)
    Buffalo Bills - (Net Value)
    St. Louis Rams - Order filler picks
    Detroit Lions - Order filler picks

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  8. He told me he was going to try it. I don't know whether he used any of the lists, information or early projections that I had posted. At first glance, most of his picks seem possible, but I still don't have all of the information I need for my final projections, so I couldn't say yet which ones are likely wrong.

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  9. Whats up Adam... This is ATLJBO from the Atlanta Falcons MB...

    I just wanted to ask... when do you think you will drop your official projections ?

    Thanks

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  10. ATLJBO,

    I'm hoping to post them in the next week or two.

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